Worlds 2026 ends in Brooklyn on Saturday, when Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming meet in a best-of-five final at Barclays Center. Ruler and Viper are former world champions, and Knight still carries the memory of BLG’s 2024 final loss to T1. Caliste is already out, but his Karmine Corp run through Play-In, Swiss, and a full quarterfinal series built a big kill total. Now the finalists are chasing it.
Our call on Polymarket’s most-kills market is Pass on Knight. He is the favorite at 70% and our own estimate is 69%, so we see no clear gap worth acting on. Caliste follows at 29%, Ruler at 3%, and Viper at under 1%, and traders have put $64,000 into the market.
Knight has played about fifteen games and averages just under five kills in each, which puts him in the low seventies. One stats page lists Caliste at eighty-nine kills and his run is over, so Knight needs roughly seventeen more in a final of three to five games. Viper is the problem, because he has played the same BLG games and his semifinal lines against T1 suggest he is near Knight’s total or past it. Ruler leads in kills per game, but Gen.G has played fewer games, so he has less banked.
Worlds 2026 most kills odds on Polymarket
| Outcome | Polymarket | 7-day move |
|---|---|---|
| Knight | 70¢ | up 39 pts |
| Caliste | 29¢ | down 20 pts |
| Ruler | 3¢ | down 1 pt |
| Viper | under 1¢ | flat |
Knight climbs, then catches his breath
Knight’s seven-day change is up 39 points, while his last-day change is down 1 point. The week included both semifinals, which set the final between Gen.G and BLG. Caliste’s run ended earlier, and his seven-day change is down 20 points with a last-day change of down 1 point. Ruler is down 1 point on the week but up 1 point over the last day. Viper’s seven-day change is flat and his last-day change is flat.
What would change our call
Our research found nothing that could change this call before the market settles.
How it resolves
Polymarket: The player with the most total kills across all completed official Worlds 2026 games wins, Play-In, Swiss Stage, and Knockout Stage included. Remade or incomplete games count only if their kills appear in official stats, and forfeit wins don’t count. Ties go to fewer deaths, then more assists, then the first in-game name alphabetically. Leaguepedia is the main source. Cancellation or a late postponement resolves to Other. Polymarket settles it by December 15 at the latest.
